Viendo archivo del martes, 7 junio 2016
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2016 Jun 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 159 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Jun 2016IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (08
Jun, 09 Jun, 10 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 576 km/s at 06/2135Z. Total IMF reached 8
nT at 07/0506Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
07/0317Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 1495 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and three (08 Jun, 10
Jun) and quiet levels on day two (09 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Jun a 10 Jun
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Jun 079 Previsto 08 Jun-10 Jun 080/080/080 Media de 90 Días 07 Jun 091
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Jun 021/032 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Jun 009/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Jun-10 Jun 005/006-005/005-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Jun a 10 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 10% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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