Viendo archivo del jueves, 30 junio 2016
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2016 Jun 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 182 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Jun 2016IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (01
Jul, 02 Jul, 03 Jul).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 385 km/s at 30/0513Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at
30/1909Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
30/1858Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 2099 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (01 Jul) and unsettled to
minor storm levels on days two and three (02 Jul, 03 Jul).
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Jul a 03 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Jun 073 Previsto 01 Jul-03 Jul 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 30 Jun 090
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Jun 004/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Jun 006/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Jul-03 Jul 010/012-021/030-020/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Jul a 03 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 30% | 55% | 55% |
All times in UTC
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