Viendo archivo del domingo, 24 julio 2016
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2016 Jul 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 206 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Jul 2016IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M2 event observed at
24/0620Z from Region 2567 (N05W92). There are currently 1 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on
day one (25 Jul) and expected to be very low with a chance for a C-class
flares and a slight chance for an M-class flare on day two (26 Jul) and
expected to be very low with a slight chance for a C-class flare on day
three (27 Jul).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 473 km/s at 24/1453Z. Total IMF
reached 13 nT at 24/1512Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-11 nT at 24/2006Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
reached a peak level of 210 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one, two, and three (25 Jul, 26
Jul, 27 Jul). Protons greater than 10 Mev have a slight chance of
crossing threshold on day one (25 Jul).
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Jul a 27 Jul
| Clase M | 40% | 10% | 01% |
| Clase X | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Jul 082 Previsto 25 Jul-27 Jul 075/075/070 Media de 90 Días 24 Jul 089
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Jul 010/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Jul 011/014 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Jul-27 Jul 012/012-010/015-012/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Jul a 27 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 35% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 30% | 45% | 30% |
All times in UTC
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