Viendo archivo del martes, 23 agosto 2016
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2016 Aug 23 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 236 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Aug 2016IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 3 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (24 Aug,
25 Aug, 26 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 448 km/s at 23/2052Z. Total IMF
reached 16 nT at 23/2021Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-13 nT at 23/1939Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
reached a peak level of 293 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (24 Aug), quiet to
active levels on day two (25 Aug) and quiet to unsettled levels on day
three (26 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Aug a 26 Aug
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 Aug 081 Previsto 24 Aug-26 Aug 085/085/085 Media de 90 Días 23 Aug 084
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 22 Aug 006/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 23 Aug 011/016 Previsto Afr/Ap 24 Aug-26 Aug 013/012-011/012-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Aug a 26 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 25% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 20% | 15% |
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