Viendo archivo del viernes, 16 septiembre 2016
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2016 Sep 16 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 260 Publicado el 2200Z a las 16 Sep 2016IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 15-2100Z hasta 16-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (17 Sep, 18 Sep, 19 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 15-2100Z a 16-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 494 km/s at 16/0330Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at
16/0718Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
16/1815Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (17 Sep, 18 Sep) and quiet to
minor storm levels on day three (19 Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 17 Sep a 19 Sep
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 16 Sep 084 Previsto 17 Sep-19 Sep 085/080/080 Media de 90 Días 16 Sep 085
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 15 Sep 006/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 16 Sep 003/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 17 Sep-19 Sep 005/008-006/005-014/018
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 17 Sep a 19 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 05% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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