Viendo archivo del domingo, 25 septiembre 2016
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2016 Sep 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 269 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Sep 2016IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
25/1914Z from Region 2597 (S13W25). There are currently 1 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (26
Sep, 27 Sep, 28 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 425 km/s at 25/1755Z. Total IMF
reached 11 nT at 25/0908Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-10 nT at 25/1021Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to minor storm levels on day one (26 Sep), quiet to
active levels on day two (27 Sep) and unsettled to major storm levels on
day three (28 Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Sep a 28 Sep
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Sep 085 Previsto 26 Sep-28 Sep 085/085/085 Media de 90 Días 25 Sep 086
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Sep 004/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Sep 016/021 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Sep-28 Sep 014/018-012/012-024/035
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Sep a 28 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 15% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 25% | 50% |
All times in UTC
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