Viendo archivo del jueves, 24 noviembre 2016
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2016 Nov 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 329 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Nov 2016IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (25
Nov, 26 Nov, 27 Nov).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 551 km/s at 24/0831Z. Total IMF
reached 11 nT at 24/1523Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-9 nT at 24/1308Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
reached a peak level of 541 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (25 Nov, 26 Nov) and
quiet to unsettled levels on day three (27 Nov).
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Nov a 27 Nov
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Nov 079 Previsto 25 Nov-27 Nov 079/079/080 Media de 90 Días 24 Nov 085
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Nov 011/011 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Nov 020/026 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Nov-27 Nov 016/020-010/012-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Nov a 27 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 25% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 20% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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