Viendo archivo del jueves, 9 febrero 2017

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2017 Feb 09 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 40 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Feb 2017

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at 09/0326Z from Region 2635 (N13E13). There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (10 Feb, 11 Feb, 12 Feb).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 464 km/s at 09/1926Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at 09/1739Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at 09/1820Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 13674 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (10 Feb, 11 Feb, 12 Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Feb a 12 Feb
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       09 Feb 073
  Previsto   10 Feb-12 Feb 074/074/074
  Media de 90 Días        09 Feb 077

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 08 Feb  003/004
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 09 Feb  006/006
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 10 Feb-12 Feb  005/005-005/005-006/005

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Feb a 12 Feb
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor15%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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