Viendo archivo del lunes, 13 marzo 2017

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2017 Mar 13 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 72 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Mar 2017

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (14 Mar, 15 Mar, 16 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 380 km/s at 13/1830Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 3433 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (14 Mar, 15 Mar, 16 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Mar a 16 Mar
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       13 Mar 070
  Previsto   14 Mar-16 Mar 071/071/071
  Media de 90 Días        13 Mar 076

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 12 Mar  007/006
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 13 Mar  004/004
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 14 Mar-16 Mar  006/005-006/005-006/005

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Mar a 16 Mar
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor20%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa15%10%10%

All times in UTC

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