Viendo archivo del sábado, 18 marzo 2017
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2017 Mar 18 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 77 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Mar 2017IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (19 Mar, 20 Mar, 21 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 339 km/s at 18/1017Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 805 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (19 Mar, 20 Mar) and quiet to
unsettled levels on day three (21 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Mar a 21 Mar
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 18 Mar 070 Previsto 19 Mar-21 Mar 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 18 Mar 076
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 17 Mar 003/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 18 Mar 003/003 Previsto Afr/Ap 19 Mar-21 Mar 006/005-006/005-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Mar a 21 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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