Viendo archivo del domingo, 26 marzo 2017
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2017 Mar 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 85 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Mar 2017IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (27
Mar, 28 Mar, 29 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 462 km/s at 25/2103Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 8330 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to minor storm levels on day one (27 Mar), active to
major storm levels on day two (28 Mar) and unsettled to major storm
levels on day three (29 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Mar a 29 Mar
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Mar 077 Previsto 27 Mar-29 Mar 078/078/078 Media de 90 Días 26 Mar 076
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Mar 003/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Mar 006/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Mar-29 Mar 016/025-028/040-024/035
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Mar a 29 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 35% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 30% | 10% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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