Viendo archivo del sábado, 8 abril 2017
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2017 Apr 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 98 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Apr 2017IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
08/0905Z from Region 2645 (S09W0*). There are currently 0 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on day one (09 Apr) and expected to
be very low on days two and three (10 Apr, 11 Apr).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 680 km/s at 08/1544Z. Total IMF reached 10
nT at 08/1119Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -8 nT at
07/2204Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 491 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (09 Apr) and quiet to
unsettled levels on days two and three (10 Apr, 11 Apr).
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Apr a 11 Apr
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Apr 073 Previsto 09 Apr-11 Apr 072/072/072 Media de 90 Días 08 Apr 078
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Apr 009/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Apr 011/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Apr-11 Apr 012/012-007/008-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Apr a 11 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 15% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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