Viendo archivo del jueves, 1 junio 2017
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2017 Jun 01 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 152 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Jun 2017IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 31-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C6 event observed at
01/0143Z from Region 2661 (N05E64). There is currently 1 numbered
sunspot region on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a
slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (02 Jun,
03 Jun, 04 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 31-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 469 km/s at 01/2025Z. Total IMF reached 9
nT at 01/1318Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
01/1856Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 802 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and three (02 Jun, 04
Jun) and unsettled to active levels on day two (03 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Jun a 04 Jun
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 Jun 076 Previsto 02 Jun-04 Jun 076/077/078 Media de 90 Días 01 Jun 076
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 31 May 005/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 Jun 006/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 Jun-04 Jun 009/010-012/015-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Jun a 04 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 20% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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