Viendo archivo del sábado, 1 julio 2017
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2017 Jul 01 2205 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 182 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Jul 2017IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (02 Jul, 03 Jul, 04 Jul).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 442 km/s at 01/2012Z. Total IMF reached 19
nT at 01/1747Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -9 nT at
01/0926Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 204 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on days one and two (02 Jul, 03
Jul) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (04 Jul).
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Jul a 04 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 Jul 071 Previsto 02 Jul-04 Jul 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 01 Jul 076
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 30 Jun 004/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 Jul 013/016 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 Jul-04 Jul 018/023-019/023-011/011
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Jul a 04 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 35% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 10% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 65% | 20% | 40% |
All times in UTC
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