Viendo archivo del miércoles, 19 julio 2017
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2017 Jul 19 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 200 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Jul 2017IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C2 event observed at
19/0007Z from Region 2665 (S06, L=118). There are currently 0 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on day one (20 Jul) and expected to
be very low on days two and three (21 Jul, 22 Jul).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak near 500 km/s. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 13630 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (20 Jul), quiet to unsettled levels on
day two (21 Jul) and quiet to active levels on day three (22 Jul).
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Jul a 22 Jul
| Clase M | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 19 Jul 073 Previsto 20 Jul-22 Jul 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 19 Jul 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 18 Jul 007/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 19 Jul 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 20 Jul-22 Jul 006/005-008/008-009/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Jul a 22 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 30% | 40% | 50% |
All times in UTC
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