Viendo archivo del jueves, 24 agosto 2017
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2017 Aug 24 2235 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 236 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Aug 2017IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C3 event observed at
24/0037Z from Region 2671 (N11W56). There are currently 2 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a
slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (25 Aug,
26 Aug, 27 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 469 km/s at 23/2153Z. Total IMF reached 5
nT at 24/1018Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
24/1008Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 3701 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (25 Aug) and quiet levels
on days two and three (26 Aug, 27 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Aug a 27 Aug
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Aug 079 Previsto 25 Aug-27 Aug 079/080/078 Media de 90 Días 24 Aug 076
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Aug 017/029 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Aug 012/013 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Aug-27 Aug 007/008-005/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Aug a 27 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 15% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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| Último evento clase M | 19/01/2026 | M1.2 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 17/01/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
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