Viendo archivo del martes, 29 agosto 2017
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2017 Aug 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 241 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Aug 2017IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C2 event observed at
29/0300Z from Region 2674 (N11E70). There are currently 3 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares and a slight chance for an M-class
flare on days one, two, and three (30 Aug, 31 Aug, 01 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 1127 km/s at 28/2101Z. Total IMF reached 14
nT at 29/1945Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -10 nT at
29/1826Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 1628 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to active levels on day one (30 Aug) and active to
minor storm levels on days two and three (31 Aug, 01 Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Aug a 01 Sep
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 Aug 084 Previsto 30 Aug-01 Sep 084/086/086 Media de 90 Días 29 Aug 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 Aug 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 29 Aug 008/011 Previsto Afr/Ap 30 Aug-01 Sep 017/020-024/030-023/035
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Aug a 01 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 30% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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