Viendo archivo del domingo, 3 septiembre 2017
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2017 Sep 03 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 246 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Sep 2017IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
02/2203Z from Region 2672 (N08W98). There are currently 5 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (04
Sep, 05 Sep, 06 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 587 km/s at 02/2116Z. Total IMF reached 5
nT at 02/2212Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
02/2222Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 12319 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (04 Sep, 05 Sep)
and quiet levels on day three (06 Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Sep a 06 Sep
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 Sep 120 Previsto 04 Sep-06 Sep 120/118/116 Media de 90 Días 03 Sep 078
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 Sep 025/026 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 Sep 011/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 Sep-06 Sep 007/010-007/008-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Sep a 06 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 20% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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