Viendo archivo del lunes, 18 septiembre 2017

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2017 Sep 18 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 261 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Sep 2017

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (19 Sep, 20 Sep, 21 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 707 km/s at 18/1034Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 17/2101Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 18/0056Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 31067 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (19 Sep, 20 Sep) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (21 Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Sep a 21 Sep
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       18 Sep 072
  Previsto   19 Sep-21 Sep 072/072/073
  Media de 90 Días        18 Sep 081

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 17 Sep  013/016
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 18 Sep  019/024
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 19 Sep-21 Sep  012/014-011/012-007/008

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Sep a 21 Sep
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo30%25%20%
Tormenta Menor15%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%15%15%
Tormenta Menor25%25%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa50%40%30%

All times in UTC

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