Viendo archivo del martes, 24 octubre 2017
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2017 Oct 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 297 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Oct 2017IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (25
Oct, 26 Oct, 27 Oct).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 641 km/s at 24/2012Z. Total IMF
reached 15 nT at 24/1140Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-9 nT at 24/1017Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
reached a peak level of 2102 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at active to major storm levels on day one (25 Oct), unsettled to
minor storm levels on day two (26 Oct) and unsettled to active levels on
day three (27 Oct).
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Oct a 27 Oct
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Oct 078 Previsto 25 Oct-27 Oct 078/077/077 Media de 90 Días 24 Oct 082
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Oct 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Oct 016/021 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Oct-27 Oct 028/045-023/035-014/018
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Oct a 27 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 35% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 15% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 75% | 55% | 40% |
All times in UTC
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