Viendo archivo del martes, 21 noviembre 2017
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2017 Nov 21 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 325 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Nov 2017IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (22 Nov, 23 Nov, 24 Nov).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at unsettled to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 639 km/s at 21/1436Z. Total IMF
reached 15 nT at 21/0234Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-13 nT at 21/0433Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
reached a peak level of 300 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (22 Nov), quiet to unsettled
levels on day two (23 Nov) and quiet levels on day three (24 Nov).
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Nov a 24 Nov
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Nov 073 Previsto 22 Nov-24 Nov 074/073/072 Media de 90 Días 21 Nov 081
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Nov 007/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Nov 023/031 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Nov-24 Nov 015/018-007/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Nov a 24 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 25% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 40% | 20% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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