Viendo archivo del jueves, 30 noviembre 2017
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2017 Nov 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 334 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Nov 2017IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on day one (01 Dec) and
expected to be very low on days two and three (02 Dec, 03 Dec).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 527 km/s at 30/1042Z. Total IMF reached 9
nT at 30/0313Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -8 nT at
30/0133Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 164 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (01 Dec, 02 Dec, 03
Dec).
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Dec a 03 Dec
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Nov 072 Previsto 01 Dec-03 Dec 072/070/070 Media de 90 Días 30 Nov 080
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Nov 004/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Nov 010/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Dec-03 Dec 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Dec a 03 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 15% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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