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Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2018 Jan 07 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 7 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Jan 2018

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (08 Jan, 09 Jan, 10 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 305 km/s at 07/1627Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at 07/1751Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at 07/1702Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on day one (08 Jan), quiet to unsettled levels on day two (09 Jan) and quiet levels on day three (10 Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Jan a 10 Jan
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       07 Jan 070
  Previsto   08 Jan-10 Jan 070/070/070
  Media de 90 Días        07 Jan 072

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 06 Jan  002/002
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 07 Jan  008/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 08 Jan-10 Jan  010/012-007/008-005/005

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Jan a 10 Jan
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo30%15%10%
Tormenta Menor10%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%20%15%
Tormenta Menor30%25%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa40%20%15%

All times in UTC

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