Viendo archivo del miércoles, 24 enero 2018

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2018 Jan 24 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 24 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Jan 2018

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (25 Jan, 26 Jan, 27 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 431 km/s at 23/2131Z. Total IMF reached 10 nT at 24/1637Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -8 nT at 24/1535Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1043 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (25 Jan, 26 Jan, 27 Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Jan a 27 Jan
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       24 Jan 070
  Previsto   25 Jan-27 Jan 070/068/068
  Media de 90 Días        24 Jan 072

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 23 Jan  003/003
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 24 Jan  005/007
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 25 Jan-27 Jan  008/005-007/005-008/008

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Jan a 27 Jan
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%20%
Tormenta Menor01%01%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor20%20%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%10%25%

All times in UTC

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