Viendo archivo del miércoles, 11 abril 2018
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2018 Apr 11 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 101 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 Apr 2018IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (12 Apr, 13 Apr, 14 Apr).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 614 km/s at 11/0817Z. Total IMF
reached 6 nT at 11/0209Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-5 nT at 10/2106Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
reached a peak level of 10905 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to active levels on day one (12 Apr) and quiet to
active levels on days two and three (13 Apr, 14 Apr).
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 Apr a 14 Apr
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 11 Apr 068 Previsto 12 Apr-14 Apr 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 11 Apr 070
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 10 Apr 014/016 Estimado Afr/Ap 11 Apr 013/018 Previsto Afr/Ap 12 Apr-14 Apr 015/018-012/015-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 Apr a 14 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 50% | 50% | 50% |
All times in UTC
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