Viendo archivo del lunes, 7 mayo 2018
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2018 May 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 127 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 May 2018IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (08
May, 09 May, 10 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 714 km/s at 07/0051Z. Total IMF
reached 7 nT at 06/2102Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-5 nT at 07/0309Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
reached a peak level of 24933 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (08 May, 09 May) and
quiet to unsettled levels on day three (10 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 May a 10 May
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 May 070 Previsto 08 May-10 May 070/071/071 Media de 90 Días 07 May 070
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 May 024/026 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 May 018/022 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 May-10 May 014/016-011/012-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 May a 10 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 35% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 50% | 40% | 30% |
All times in UTC
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