Viendo archivo del lunes, 25 junio 2018
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2018 Jun 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 176 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Jun 2018IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (26
Jun, 27 Jun, 28 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 472 km/s at 24/2228Z. Total IMF reached 9
nT at 25/2035Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -8 nT at
25/2044Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 2919 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (26 Jun), unsettled to minor
storm levels on day two (27 Jun) and quiet to minor storm levels on day
three (28 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Jun a 28 Jun
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Jun 073 Previsto 26 Jun-28 Jun 073/072/072 Media de 90 Días 25 Jun 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Jun 008/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Jun 006/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Jun-28 Jun 007/010-016/025-014/018
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Jun a 28 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 35% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 10% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 40% | 70% | 65% |
All times in UTC
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