Viendo archivo del viernes, 20 julio 2018
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2018 Jul 20 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 201 Publicado el 2200Z a las 20 Jul 2018IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 19-2100Z hasta 20-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (21 Jul, 22 Jul, 23 Jul).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 19-2100Z a 20-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 482 km/s at 20/0910Z. Total IMF reached 7
nT at 20/1957Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
20/0849Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (21 Jul, 22 Jul)
and quiet to active levels on day three (23 Jul).
III. Probabilidades del evento 21 Jul a 23 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 20 Jul 071 Previsto 21 Jul-23 Jul 071/071/071 Media de 90 Días 20 Jul 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 19 Jul 004/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 20 Jul 007/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 21 Jul-23 Jul 006/008-008/008-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 21 Jul a 23 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 20% | 35% |
All times in UTC
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