Viendo archivo del domingo, 19 agosto 2018
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2018 Aug 19 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 231 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Aug 2018IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (20 Aug, 21 Aug, 22 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 499 km/s at 19/0015Z. Total IMF reached 12 nT at
19/1808Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
19/1638Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 18287 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to active levels on days one and two (20 Aug, 21 Aug)
and quiet to active levels on day three (22 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Aug a 22 Aug
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 19 Aug 067 Previsto 20 Aug-22 Aug 067/067/067 Media de 90 Días 19 Aug 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 18 Aug 011/015 Estimado Afr/Ap 19 Aug 007/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 20 Aug-22 Aug 016/020-014/018-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Aug a 22 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 50% | 50% | 40% |
All times in UTC
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