Viendo archivo del jueves, 23 agosto 2018

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2018 Aug 23 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 235 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Aug 2018

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (24 Aug, 25 Aug, 26 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 484 km/s at 22/2123Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 4038 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (24 Aug, 25 Aug) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (26 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Aug a 26 Aug
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       23 Aug 070
  Previsto   24 Aug-26 Aug 070/070/070
  Media de 90 Días        23 Aug 071

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 22 Aug  008/006
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 23 Aug  005/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 24 Aug-26 Aug  007/008-010/012-008/008

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Aug a 26 Aug
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo25%35%25%
Tormenta Menor10%15%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%10%15%
Tormenta Menor25%25%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa40%50%35%

All times in UTC

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