Viendo archivo del jueves, 20 septiembre 2018
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2018 Sep 20 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 263 Publicado el 2200Z a las 20 Sep 2018IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 19-2100Z hasta 20-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (21 Sep, 22 Sep, 23 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 19-2100Z a 20-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 433 km/s at 20/0041Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 8688 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (21 Sep), quiet to unsettled levels on
day two (22 Sep) and unsettled to minor storm levels on day three (23
Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 21 Sep a 23 Sep
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 20 Sep 067 Previsto 21 Sep-23 Sep 067/067/067 Media de 90 Días 20 Sep 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 19 Sep 004/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 20 Sep 003/003 Previsto Afr/Ap 21 Sep-23 Sep 005/005-008/010-017/022
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 21 Sep a 23 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 25% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 40% | 55% |
All times in UTC
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