Viendo archivo del sábado, 17 noviembre 2018
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2018 Nov 17 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 321 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 Nov 2018IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (18
Nov, 19 Nov, 20 Nov).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 363 km/s at 17/0158Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
17/0403Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
17/0314Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 1094 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (18 Nov,
19 Nov, 20 Nov).
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 Nov a 20 Nov
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 17 Nov 073 Previsto 18 Nov-20 Nov 073/073/073 Media de 90 Días 17 Nov 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 16 Nov 001/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 17 Nov 002/002 Previsto Afr/Ap 18 Nov-20 Nov 008/008-009/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 Nov a 20 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 30% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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