Viendo archivo del lunes, 19 noviembre 2018

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2018 Nov 19 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 323 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Nov 2018

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (20 Nov, 21 Nov, 22 Nov).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 350 km/s at 19/1704Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at 18/2222Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at 18/2227Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 753 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (20 Nov, 21 Nov) and quiet levels on day three (22 Nov).
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Nov a 22 Nov
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       19 Nov 071
  Previsto   20 Nov-22 Nov 071/071/071
  Media de 90 Días        19 Nov 069

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 18 Nov  002/002
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 19 Nov  004/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 20 Nov-22 Nov  007/008-010/010-006/005

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Nov a 22 Nov
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%20%10%
Tormenta Menor01%05%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor25%25%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa20%30%20%

All times in UTC

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