Viendo archivo del sábado, 8 diciembre 2018
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2018 Dec 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 342 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Dec 2018IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (09 Dec, 10 Dec, 11 Dec).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 610 km/s at 08/2054Z. Total IMF reached 8
nT at 08/0644Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
08/0716Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 551 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (09 Dec), quiet to unsettled
levels on day two (10 Dec) and quiet levels on day three (11 Dec).
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Dec a 11 Dec
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Dec 071 Previsto 09 Dec-11 Dec 070/068/068 Media de 90 Días 08 Dec 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Dec 008/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Dec 009/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Dec-11 Dec 010/012-009/010-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Dec a 11 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 20% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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