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Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2019 Jan 13 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 13 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Jan 2019

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (14 Jan, 15 Jan, 16 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 371 km/s at 13/0111Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 444 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on day one (14 Jan) and quiet to unsettled levels on days two and three (15 Jan, 16 Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Jan a 16 Jan
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       13 Jan 069
  Previsto   14 Jan-16 Jan 069/069/069
  Media de 90 Días        13 Jan 070

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 12 Jan  002/002
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 13 Jan  003/003
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 14 Jan-16 Jan  005/005-007/008-008/008

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Jan a 16 Jan
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor15%25%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa15%20%20%

All times in UTC

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