Viendo archivo del viernes, 25 enero 2019
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2019 Jan 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 25 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Jan 2019IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (26 Jan,
27 Jan, 28 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 636 km/s at 24/2201Z. Total IMF
reached 10 nT at 25/0030Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-5 nT at 25/0108Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
reached a peak level of 1408 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (26 Jan) and quiet levels
on days two and three (27 Jan, 28 Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Jan a 28 Jan
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Jan 075 Previsto 26 Jan-28 Jan 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 25 Jan 070
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Jan 013/014 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Jan 011/013 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Jan-28 Jan 009/010-006/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Jan a 28 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 30% | 20% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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