Viendo archivo del viernes, 8 febrero 2019

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Emitido: 2019 Feb 08 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 08 Feb 2019 until 10 Feb 2019
Llamarada solar

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)

Protones solares

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
08 Feb 2019070020
09 Feb 2019070019
10 Feb 2019070007

Bulletin

The solar activity has been quiet over the past 24 hours. The visible solar disc was spotless, and the X-ray flux remained below B-level. Flaring conditions is expected to remain at low levels.

No Earth directed coronal mass ejection has been observed. The greater than 10 MeV solar protons flux remained at nominal levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so.

The solar wind speed reached a minimum (350 km/s) on Feb 8 around 04:00 UT, it then increased to about 475 km/s. The total interplanetary magnetic field strength remained below 6.5 nT during the 24-hour period, and the southward magnetic component fluctuated between -5.5 and 4.5 nT. This increase of the wind speed happened simultaneously with the sector boundary change from negative to positive polarity. It is probably due to the expected coming high-speed stream that pushes heads the current measured wind stream. A new sector boundary change from positive to negative polarity is expected later today with the arrival of the high-speed stream associated with the large patchy coronal hole (of negative polarity) that reached the central meridian on Feb 4.

The geomagnetic conditions were quiet with several periods of unsettled activity. The Kp index ranged between 0-2 (NOAA) and the local K index 0-3 (Dourbes). The conditions are expected to remain mostly quiet with possible unsettled conditions periods for the next couples of hours, then active conditions with possible short periods of minor storm is expected with the arrival of the high-speed stream associated with the coronal hole that reached the central meridian on Feb 4.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 11 stations.

Solar indices for 07 Feb 2019

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux070
AK Chambon La Forêt010
AK Wingst006
Estimated Ap004
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 26 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxFinLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
Ninguno

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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