Viendo archivo del jueves, 14 febrero 2019
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2019 Feb 14 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 45 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 Feb 2019IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (15 Feb, 16 Feb, 17 Feb).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 533 km/s at 14/1119Z. Total IMF reached 5
nT at 14/0741Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
14/0749Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 1271 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (15 Feb) and quiet levels
on days two and three (16 Feb, 17 Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 Feb a 17 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 Feb 071 Previsto 15 Feb-17 Feb 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 14 Feb 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 13 Feb 011/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 14 Feb 010/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 15 Feb-17 Feb 008/008-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 Feb a 17 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 30/03/2026 | X1.4 |
| Último evento clase M | 28/03/2026 | M1.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 25/03/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (3%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
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