Viendo archivo del martes, 19 febrero 2019
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2019 Feb 19 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 50 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Feb 2019IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (20 Feb, 21 Feb, 22 Feb).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 367 km/s at 18/2120Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 281 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (20 Feb, 21 Feb) and
quiet to unsettled levels on day three (22 Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Feb a 22 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 19 Feb 070 Previsto 20 Feb-22 Feb 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 19 Feb 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 18 Feb 005/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 19 Feb 003/003 Previsto Afr/Ap 20 Feb-22 Feb 009/012-015/016-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Feb a 22 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 30% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 35% | 40% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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