Viendo archivo del sábado, 8 junio 2019
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2019 Jun 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 159 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Jun 2019IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (09 Jun, 10 Jun, 11 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 427 km/s at 08/2059Z. Total IMF
reached 20 nT at 08/1522Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-17 nT at 08/1542Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
reached a peak level of 181 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to minor storm levels on day one (09 Jun) and quiet
to unsettled levels on days two and three (10 Jun, 11 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Jun a 11 Jun
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Jun 068 Previsto 09 Jun-11 Jun 068/068/068 Media de 90 Días 08 Jun 072
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Jun 006/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Jun 012/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Jun-11 Jun 015/020-010/010-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Jun a 11 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 65% | 30% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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