Viendo archivo del miércoles, 28 agosto 2019
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2019 Aug 28 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 240 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 Aug 2019IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (29 Aug, 30 Aug, 31 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 522 km/s at 28/0706Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
27/2300Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
27/2313Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (29 Aug), quiet to unsettled levels on
day two (30 Aug) and quiet to minor storm levels on day three (31 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 Aug a 31 Aug
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 28 Aug 066 Previsto 29 Aug-31 Aug 066/066/066 Media de 90 Días 28 Aug 068
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 27 Aug 010/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 28 Aug 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 29 Aug-31 Aug 006/005-006/008-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 Aug a 31 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 20% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 25% | 60% |
All times in UTC
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