Viendo archivo del sábado, 26 octubre 2019
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2019 Oct 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 299 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Oct 2019IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (27 Oct, 28 Oct, 29 Oct).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at unsettled to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 695 km/s at 26/1623Z. Total IMF
reached 10 nT at 26/1153Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-9 nT at 26/1154Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
reached a peak level of 20986 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to active levels on day one (27 Oct) and quiet to
active levels on days two and three (28 Oct, 29 Oct).
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Oct a 29 Oct
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Oct 069 Previsto 27 Oct-29 Oct 068/068/068 Media de 90 Días 26 Oct 067
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Oct 029/026 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Oct 018/027 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Oct-29 Oct 015/018-012/015-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Oct a 29 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 40% | 40% | 30% |
All times in UTC
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