Viendo archivo del miércoles, 8 enero 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Jan 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 8 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Jan 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (09 Jan, 10 Jan, 11 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 437 km/s at 08/1648Z. Total IMF reached 6
nT at 08/1349Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
08/1349Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (09 Jan, 10 Jan)
and quiet levels on day three (11 Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Jan a 11 Jan
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Jan 074 Previsto 09 Jan-11 Jan 074/074/074 Media de 90 Días 08 Jan 070
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Jan 004/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Jan 006/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Jan-11 Jan 008/008-007/008-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Jan a 11 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 25% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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