Viendo archivo del jueves, 30 enero 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Jan 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 30 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Jan 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (31 Jan, 01 Feb, 02 Feb).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 501 km/s at 30/1810Z. Total IMF reached 8
nT at 30/1625Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
30/1624Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 141 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (31 Jan, 01 Feb, 02
Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 Jan a 02 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Jan 074 Previsto 31 Jan-02 Feb 074/074/074 Media de 90 Días 30 Jan 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Jan 006/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Jan 007/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 31 Jan-02 Feb 007/008-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 Jan a 02 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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