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Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 May 01 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 122 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 May 2020

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (02 May, 03 May, 04 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 322 km/s at 01/0727Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 01/0945Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at 01/0610Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 191 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on day one (02 May) and quiet to unsettled levels on days two and three (03 May, 04 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 May a 04 May
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       01 May 070
  Previsto   02 May-04 May 070/070/070
  Media de 90 Días        01 May 070

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 30 Apr  001/002
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 01 May  006/006
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 02 May-04 May  006/005-007/008-008/008

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 May a 04 May
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%15%15%
Tormenta Menor01%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor20%25%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%25%25%

All times in UTC

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