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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Jun 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 159 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Jun 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (08
Jun, 09 Jun, 10 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 433 km/s at 07/2051Z. Total IMF reached 12 nT at
07/1631Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -9 nT at
07/1812Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 162 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (08 Jun) and quiet levels on
days two and three (09 Jun, 10 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Jun a 10 Jun
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Jun 073 Previsto 08 Jun-10 Jun 072/072/072 Media de 90 Días 07 Jun 070
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Jun 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Jun 008/009 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Jun-10 Jun 011/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Jun a 10 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 40% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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