Viendo archivo del jueves, 16 julio 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Jul 16 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 198 Publicado el 2200Z a las 16 Jul 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 15-2100Z hasta 16-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (17 Jul, 18 Jul, 19 Jul).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 15-2100Z a 16-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 449 km/s at 16/0347Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
16/0805Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
16/1015Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 186 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (17 Jul, 18 Jul, 19
Jul).
III. Probabilidades del evento 17 Jul a 19 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 16 Jul 069 Previsto 17 Jul-19 Jul 069/069/069 Media de 90 Días 16 Jul 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 15 Jul 006/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 16 Jul 004/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 17 Jul-19 Jul 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 17 Jul a 19 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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