Viendo archivo del viernes, 24 julio 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Jul 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 206 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Jul 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There is currently 1 numbered sunspot region on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (25 Jul, 26 Jul, 27 Jul).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 382 km/s at 24/1701Z. Total IMF reached 11
nT at 24/0559Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -9 nT at
24/0550Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 221 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (25 Jul), quiet to unsettled
levels on day two (26 Jul) and quiet levels on day three (27 Jul).
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Jul a 27 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Jul 070 Previsto 25 Jul-27 Jul 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 24 Jul 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Jul 004/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Jul 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Jul-27 Jul 011/012-008/008-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Jul a 27 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 50% | 20% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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