Viendo archivo del jueves, 30 julio 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Jul 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 212 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Jul 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (31 Jul, 01 Aug, 02 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 382 km/s at 29/2217Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
30/0405Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
30/0405Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 230 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (31 Jul) and quiet to unsettled levels
on days two and three (01 Aug, 02 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 Jul a 02 Aug
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Jul 073 Previsto 31 Jul-02 Aug 072/072/072 Media de 90 Días 30 Jul 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Jul 004/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Jul 004/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 31 Jul-02 Aug 006/005-007/008-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 Jul a 02 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 25% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 30% | 45% |
All times in UTC
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