Viendo archivo del sábado, 15 agosto 2020

Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Aug 15 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 228 Publicado el 2200Z a las 15 Aug 2020

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 14-2100Z hasta 15-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C2 event observed at 15/0647Z from Region 2770 (N26W85). There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (16 Aug, 17 Aug, 18 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 14-2100Z a 15-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 311 km/s at 15/0157Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 631 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (16 Aug, 17 Aug, 18 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 16 Aug a 18 Aug
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       15 Aug 071
  Previsto   16 Aug-18 Aug 071/070/070
  Media de 90 Días        15 Aug 070

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 14 Aug  003/003
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 15 Aug  003/004
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 16 Aug-18 Aug  005/005-005/005-005/005

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 16 Aug a 18 Aug
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor15%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%10%10%

All times in UTC

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